• Ech@lemm.ee
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    37
    arrow-down
    4
    ·
    edit-2
    16 days ago

    “Driven” suggest more than half of total pregnancies, which is not true looking at the graph given above. It was solidly thirdfourth* in terms of totals, which is still unsettling, but not as pronounced as your comment suggests.

    *I overlooked 25-29

    • Wogi@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      31
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      16 days ago

      Who told you that drivers have to be 51%?

      That’s not what a driver is. Driver is a general term, ten pregnancies are a driver of total birth rate, as they have impacted total fertility significantly.

      • Ech@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        arrow-down
        9
        ·
        16 days ago

        Less than 20% of a total is “significant”?

        • ltxrtquq@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          15
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          16 days ago

          Yes. For example, 60 million people in the US (less than 20% of our total population) is a significant amount of people.

          • Ech@lemm.ee
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            arrow-down
            9
            ·
            16 days ago

            The amount the percentage represents is irrelevant. A billion people could be involved, but if the total is 7 billion, it’s not going to be a significant part of the total trend.

            • Wogi@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              11
              ·
              16 days ago

              5% can be a driver if it’s having a decent impact on your results. This is kind of a stats 101 thing man. You might even look for those outliers in your results and find a way to specifically exclude them if you find that the information you’re getting is being skewed. Do that too hard and it’s called P-hacking.

              “We found that the bottom 5% of respondents were driving results negatively and so excluded the top and bottom 5%.”

              Think about it as a literal driver. It’s a driver. It’s not the driver and also half the passengers. You can drive a motorcycle, you can drive a bus, and how much of the occupancy you are of those two things can change dramatically but you’re still a driver.

              • Ech@lemm.ee
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                arrow-down
                3
                ·
                edit-2
                15 days ago

                Obviously even 1 extreme outlier can skew things, but that’s not the case here.

                In the terms of your analogy, this is about 3 people out of 20 pedaling a (weirdly long) bike and steered by all of them (somehow). Would you say that group of 3 are driving? Or would you concede it’s the two groups of 6 that are mostly driving the bike?

                • Wogi@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  5
                  ·
                  15 days ago

                  What happens when those three pedal the other direction?

                  It’s stats, it’s a descriptive term. It just literally doesn’t mean what you’re saying it means.

                  A driver in stats is just an item or a group that has a significant impact on the final result. What that means is going to vary from study to study.

                  Anyway, you can hold on to your belief about what a driver is, you are factually incorrect, and you were also kind of an asshole to the other guy. I’m out.

                  • Ech@lemm.ee
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    1
                    arrow-down
                    3
                    ·
                    15 days ago

                    I’ve already agreed that situations vary. My point has always been about this study, not others. In this situation, the 15-20% of births in teens was not “the traditional driver of USA birth rates” (paraphrasing).

                    As for the other person, they were being an asshole for repeatedly attempting to use their own misunderstanding to delegitimize my point instead of taking even a moment to consider my words wholly. Pardon me for not having a surplus of patience to endure that today.

                • ltxrtquq@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  5
                  arrow-down
                  1
                  ·
                  15 days ago

                  Your numbers are all over the place and don’t really make sense for what you’re talking about. 3 plus two groups of 6 would only be 15 out of 20, so where did the other 5 people go?

                  But more to the point, if those 3 stop pedaling, or pedal harder than everyone else combined, or apply the brakes, or tip the bike over, any number of other things they could absolutely change the speed/direction of the bike.

                  • Ech@lemm.ee
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    1
                    arrow-down
                    8
                    ·
                    15 days ago

                    Feel free to stop responding to my discussion with someone else with your asinine “contributions”. They serve no purpose but to derail the conversation with your brash lack of understanding.

        • acockworkorange@mander.xyz
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          15 days ago

          Yeah. Less than 1% would be insignificant. More than 5% is significant, most times. More than 10% is definitely significant.