I commend the effort and the long post to explain yourself, but it’s ultimately conjecture. None of the battleground states will go “decisively” to any of the candidates.
I guess we’ll see in a week. But I have trouble believing that a state that has voted deep red for over 3 decades except for the cases where the GOP has put up a literal pedophile and a football player with advanced dementia is suddenly going to vote for a black female democrat. I just don’t see it. And keep in mind. The pedo and dementia patient almost won. I’d be very surprised if the split is anything less than a 55/45 split in Trump’s favor.
Similar for NC. A GOP supermajority in the state legislature, a MAGA suck-up in Graham for a senator in a seat that’s very safe for him. Yeah, they’ve got a Democrat governor, but Massachusetts has voted almost exclusively Republican governors for over 30 years now (With the exception of the current governor and one former governor). And they are as deep blue as you could possibly get, so the choice of governor really doesn’t make much of a difference. Their overall voting is very deep red, and I expect that to be reflected in the election.
And for the record, I’d love nothing more to be completely wrong on both of them. But I am also acknowledging the reality of the situation and am not going to hold my breath in anticipation.
The ATL area is carrying the state of Georgia now. That’s what has changed over the past three decades. The GOP has a hard time in any state where there’s a large dominant urban area. That’s not really a new thing.
I guess we’ll see in a week. But I have trouble believing that a state that has voted deep red for over 3 decades except for the cases where the GOP has put up a literal pedophile and a football player with advanced dementia is suddenly going to vote for a black female democrat. I just don’t see it. And keep in mind. The pedo and dementia patient almost won. I’d be very surprised if the split is anything less than a 55/45 split in Trump’s favor.
Similar for NC. A GOP supermajority in the state legislature, a MAGA suck-up in Graham for a senator in a seat that’s very safe for him. Yeah, they’ve got a Democrat governor, but Massachusetts has voted almost exclusively Republican governors for over 30 years now (With the exception of the current governor and one former governor). And they are as deep blue as you could possibly get, so the choice of governor really doesn’t make much of a difference. Their overall voting is very deep red, and I expect that to be reflected in the election.
And for the record, I’d love nothing more to be completely wrong on both of them. But I am also acknowledging the reality of the situation and am not going to hold my breath in anticipation.
The ATL area is carrying the state of Georgia now. That’s what has changed over the past three decades. The GOP has a hard time in any state where there’s a large dominant urban area. That’s not really a new thing.