• foggy@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    I put a hard barrier past 2030 because of the China Reunification thing. It’s a big thing for Xi. If he doesn’t attempt he’ll look like a no-balls fearful leader, or something. Idk.

    And I say 2024 because he balls’d up around Xmas 2023 and said, as I mentioned, verbatim, “We will invade Taiwan this (next) year”

    • EleventhHour@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      You’re not wrong in your reasoning, I’m just more reserved in my speculation.

      I guess we’ll just have to wait and see

      • foggy@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        Agreed and same toward you. Apologies if I came off as dismissive.

        I think we felt the same in probably 2022. I think the recent tech supremacy race and the weird things like the US ordering Apple closing up shop in China, ordering all US companies (Nvidia) to not sell them the good stuff, and the efforts to separate specifically Chinese nationals from US higher education programs that delve into high end tech stuff is… Telling. And then… Shit like this?!

        I won’t ignore the possibility of propaganda creating the divergence in where we probably agreed 2 years ago and where I am now. But I feel there’s enough economic proof and to me, historically it’s always seemed like money talks.

        But I digress. Agree to disagree. I’ll be happy if I’m wrong lol.

    • Triasha@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Then we got the leaks saying the Chinese Military is Fubared by corruption down to the warehouse workers.

      Russia could at least limp into Donbas when their Kiev assault disintegrated. If China tries to invade Taiwan and their missiles don’t launch, it will be a stupidly expensive, deadly, embarrassment. Just ships and planes littering the ocean floor.

      Xhi needs to be confident that his navy won’t get pulled into Taipei ports by tugboat like Russian Tanks in the cornfields.

      • foggy@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        Xhi needs to be confident that his navy won’t get pulled into Taipei ports by tugboat like Russian Tanks in the cornfields.

        If you start following the news coming out of the tensions in the South China seas, you’ll see that China is indeed confident despite the US’s enormous presence/teaming up with Japan to protect Taiwan…