Over about a decade of teaching a course on “U.S. Politics and Foreign Policy” at the University of Sydney I posed a question each year to my 200+ undergraduate students: What is the ultimate guarantor of U.S. democracy? In other words, what is the single factor that safeguards US democracy from collapsing into authoritarianism? The answer I was fishing for from them was not “the Constitution” or “the Supreme Court” or even “free and fair elections,” it was “political culture” – a political science term for shared political norms, values, and practices that, while they might not be written down as formal rules, potentially play a fundamental role in explaining behavior. In particular, I asked them to consider what might happen if the (power-seeking, fiercely competing) US political elite no longer considered the liberal-democratic system to be normatively important or no longer held basic democratic values themselves. Without a “culture” that values democracy, the system’s essential laws, rules, norms and processes could be corrupted or ignored, as has happened in many other instances of democratic reversal or backsliding. Elites in pursuit of power in the short-term may undermine democratic institutions for the long-term, in the absence of some fundamental beliefs that make this unthinkable, or at least unacceptable.

  • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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    5 hours ago

    That is a very good article, and is well sourced. It also more or less lines up with my read on the situation, except for some longer term predictions of the “correction” phase (to borrow a term from finance) that I believe are unsound because they assume a basis of rational action - a concept that has gone somewhat out of vogue with the current administration.

    • rayyy@lemmy.world
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      2 hours ago

      Couple that article with this podcast, and you have a very stark picture of the future.
      The big money is there. The plan is there. The motivation is there.

  • Australis13@fedia.io
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    6 hours ago

    A well-written article and worth the read.

    Probably the main thing I disagree with him about is the economic aspect and that’s only because it’s Trump we’re talking about - I’m not sure the economic costs will actually stop Trump doing something as stupid as trying to take Canada, Greenland or Panama by force.

    • samus12345@lemm.ee
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      3 hours ago

      But would it be enough for the oligarchs to stop him from doing it? Probably not, if Russia is any indication.

    • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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      39 minutes ago

      Nobody here, nor is the article, claiming that the US is or was perfect. We have done a lot of fucked up shit, but I’m not out to write a dissertation on the wrongheaded and imperialistic things done by the US. But the evaporation of Pax Americana is going to create a lot of chaotic and unpredictable situations all over the world, and my government has flipped the switch from mostly pushing against chaos to actively and openly pushing things towards it.

      It’s frankly fair to gloat if you’re Iranian, or Afghani, or Kurdish, or from… well, most of the countries in South America. But when you’re done gloating, you’ll find Putin and Xi and Trump at your front door door trying some combination of sweet-talking and strong-arming you into being their vassal state, because that’s where geopolitics is right now. I know there’s an inclination to dismiss what I’m saying simply because I’m an American, but I do think this is a situation where the devil you know is better than the devil you don’t.